"Where there is no vision, the people perish: but he that keepeth the law, happy is he."
-- Proverbs 29:18, King James Bible (KJV)

Friday, December 15, 2017

College Football Bowl Game Predictions (+ later-added Results) 2017/2018 Season NCAA Division I FBS Games

College Football Bowl Game Predictions (+ later-added Results) 2017/2018 Season NCAA Division I FBS Games

In our 2017 predictions, prior to the bowl games, we finished the regular season as follows, counting the Army-Navy game in Week 15 as a bowl game:

After Week 14, for the season we stand a cumulative:
635-195 in picking the winner
439-365-24 against the spread
394-343-1 against the CFPT average, and
405-413-10 against the over/under.

Below are the SportPundit predictions and (later-added) results for the bowl games of the NCAA Division I FBS College Football Season 2017-2018. Bowl predictions are based on this season's performance. See the SportPundit Preseason College Football Rankings and Ratings for FBS 2017-2018. We also use USA Today Sagarin College Football Ratings, the Massey Ratings and the Dr. Kambour home field advantage calculations. We compose the schedule here using FoxSports, ESPN, NCCA.com and other online sources.

Our system is based -- but not exclusively -- on our system of what we have christened as "NAYPPA" stats (net average yards per play advantage), calibrated primarily by adjusting for schedule difficulty, i.e. the teams thus far played, an adjustment which should get better as the season goes along, but this proves not always to be the case. We use yards per play stats published at cfbstats.com. Other adjustments are also made because the ypp (yards per play) system is not perfect, often exacerbating stats made against much weaker or much stronger teams, nor can schedule difficulty always be pinpointed with accuracy since many schedules include FCS teams, especially at the beginning of the season.

We often use the Kambour home field advantage calculations or take a standard 3-point home field advantage ala Sagarin into account in predicting the scores.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

We use opening lines, as far as possible, taking those opening lines from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), unless not yet posted, in which case we use Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders. We add over/unders as available, usually very late for matchups of FCS and FBS teams. All odds and stats are posted here by us WITHOUT ANY guarantee of  accuracy, and WITHOUT ANY liability on our part for our posted materials or for links to 3rd party sites. We do our predictions here for fun. If odds and stats are important for the reader, the reader must consult the original sites.

Note that we write "were favored" or "was favored". The odds of the opening line are often changed by the time we make our predictions. We do not compete against those changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it. Note that there is no line given at CFPT for games between FCS and FBS opponents.

Saturday, December 9, 2017

The Army Navy Game
Army vs. Navy
The Midshipmen were favored over the Black Knights by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Navy by 1.47 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 46 points.
Our Call: 30-24 for Navy.
Result: 14-13 für Army. Navy outgained Army 296 to 241 yards total offense but missed a game-winning field goal in the final seconds.
Thus far for the 2017-2108 Bowl Game Season we are:
0-1 in picking the winner,
0-1 against the spread,
0-1 against the CFPT average, and
0-1 against the over/under.
A great game this weekend by the way was in Division III football, where the perennial championship finalist Mount Union Purple Raiders, down 35-10 late in the third quarter against the previously unbeaten Wisconsin-Oshkosh Titans, rallied for an amazing 43-40 win in one of the Division 3 semifinal championship games, thus advancing to the Stagg Bowl in Salem, Virginia, and a matchup against the defending Division III champion Mary Hardin-Baylor Crusaders ("the Cru"), who beat Brockport 24-0 in the other semifinal game.

Saturday, December 16, 2017

Celebration Bowl
Grambling vs. North Carolina A&T
The Aggies were favored over the Tigers by 9.5 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 52.5 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for NC A&T. The undefeated Aggies have the ypp NAYPPA advantage 2.4 to 0.9 against the once-beaten Tigers, who lost in their season opener to Tulane.
Result: ?? won ??.

R+L CARRIERS NEW ORLEANS BOWL
Troy vs. North Texas
The Trojans were favored over the Mean Green by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Troy by 7.23 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 60.5 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for Troy.
Result: ?? won ??.

AUTONATION CURE BOWL
Western Kentucky vs. Georgia State
The Hilltoppers were favored over the Panthers by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Western Kentucky by 4.87 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50.5 points.
Our Call: 26-24 for Western Kentucky.
Result: ?? won ??.

LAS VEGAS BOWL
Boise State vs. Oregon
The Ducks were favored over the Broncos by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oregon by 1.70 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 59 points.
Our Call: 28-27 for Oregon.
Result: ?? won ??.

GILDAN NEW MEXICO BOWL
Marshall vs. Colorado State
The Rams were favored over the Thundering Herd by 5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Colorado State by 3.36 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 56 points.
Our Call: 31-27 for Colorado State.
Result: ?? won ??.

RAYCOM MEDIA CAMELLIA BOWL
Middle Tennessee vs. Arkansas State
The Red Wolves were favored over the Blue Raiders by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arkansas State by 6.16 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 60.5 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Middle Tennessee.
Result: ?? won ??.

Tuesday, December 19, 2017

CHERIBUNDI TART CHERRY BOCA RATON BOWL 
Akron vs. Florida Atlantic (FAU)
The Owls were favored over the Zips by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored FAU by 12.16 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 34-23 for FAU.
Result: ?? won ??.

Wednesday, December 20, 2017 

DXL FRISCO BOWL
Louisiana Tech vs. SMU
The Mustangs were favored over the Bulldogs by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored SMU by 6.97 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 70 points.
Our Call: 38-27 for SMU.
Result: ?? won ??.

Thursday, December 21, 2017  

BAD BOY MOWERS GASPARILLA BOWL
Temple vs. Florida International (FIU)
The Owls were favored over the Panthers by 8 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Temple by 6.20 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 54 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Temple.
Result: ?? won ??.

Friday, December 22, 2017  

BAHAMAS BOWL
UAB vs. Ohio
The Bobcats were favored over the Blazers by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio by 10.99 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 60.5 points.
Our Call: 34-20 for Ohio.
Result: ?? won ??.

FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL
Central Michigan vs. Wyoming
The game was seen as even. Take your pick.
The CFPT prediction average favored Central Michigan by 1.20 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 46.5 points.
Our Call: 24-21 for Central Michigan.
Result: ?? won ??.

Saturday, December 23, 2017   

BIRMINGHAM BOWL 
Texas Tech vs. South Florida
The Bulls were favored over the Red Raiders by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored South Florida by 1.68 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 65.5 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for Texas Tech.
Result: ?? won ??.

LOCKHEED MARTIN ARMED FORCES BOWL
San Diego State vs. Army
The Aztecs were favored over the Black Knights by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored San Diego State by 4.52 points.
The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 28-20 for San Diego State. Both teams have top rushing offenses, but the Aztecs seem to have the better rushing defense -- see cfbstats.com stats.
Result: ?? won ??.

DOLLAR GENERAL BOWL 
Appalachian State vs. Toledo
The Rockets were favored over the Mountaineers by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Toledo by 7.91 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for Toledo.
Result: ?? won ??.

Sunday, December 24, 2017  

HAWAI'I BOWL 
Fresno State vs. Houston
The Cougars were favored over the Bulldogs by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Houston by 1.54 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 47 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Houston.
Result: ?? won ??.

Tuesday, December 26, 2017   

ZAXBY'S HEART OF DALLAS BOWL
Utah vs. West Virginia
The Utes were favored over the Mountaineers by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Utah by 0.28 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 54 points.
Our Call: 31-30 for Utah.
Result: ?? won ??.

QUICK LANE BOWL
Duke vs. Northern Illinois
The Blue Devils were favored over the Huskies by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Duke by 5.99 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 47.5 points.
Our Call: 26-24 for Duke.
Result: ?? won ??.

CACTUS BOWL
Kansas State vs. UCLA
The Wildcats were favored over the Bruins by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Kansas State by 3.95 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 63.5 points.
Our Call: 33-31 for Kansas State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Wednesday, December 27, 2017  

WALK ON'S INDEPENDENCE BOWL 
Southern Mississippi vs. Florida State
The Seminoles were favored over the Golden Eagles by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Florida State by 16.60 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50 points.
Our Call: 37-16 for Florida State.
Result: ?? won ??.

NEW ERA PINSTRIPE BOWL 
Iowa vs. Boston College
The Hawkeyes were favored over the Eagles by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa by 3.49 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 45.5 points.
Our Call: 27-20 for Iowa.
Result: ?? won ??.
    
FOSTER FARMS BOWL
Arizona vs. Purdue
The Wildcats were favored over the Boilermakers by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Purdue by 2.15 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 66.5 points.
Our Call: 34-30 for Arizona.
Result: ?? won ??.
  
ACADEMY SPORTS + OUTDOORS TEXAS BOWL
Texas vs. Missouri
The Tigers were favored over the Longhorns by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas by 4.09 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 60 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Missouri. The Tigers have a six-game winning streak.
Result: ?? won ??.

Thursday, December 28, 2017   

MILITARY BOWL PRESENTED BY NORTHROP GRUMMAN 
Virginia vs. Navy
The game was seen as even. Take your pick.
The CFPT prediction average favored Navy by 1.52 points.
The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Virginia.
Result: ?? won ??.

CAMPING WORLD BOWL
Virginia Tech vs. Oklahoma State
The Cowboys were favored over the Hokies by 6 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma State by 1.99 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 63 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Oklahoma State.
Result: ?? won ??.

VALERO ALAMO BOWL
Stanford vs. TCU
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Cardinal by 2.5 points.
The CFPT p Sediction average favored TCU by 1.44 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 47.5 points.
Our Call: 24-23 for Stanford. As a Stanford Law School alumnus, we are admittedly biased, and we thus go with the Cardinal.
Result: ?? won ??.
  
SAN DIEGO COUNTY CREDIT UNION HOLIDAY BOWL
Washington State vs. Michigan State
The Cougars were favored over the Spartans by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan State by 0.17 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 44.5 points.
Our Call: 23-20 for Michigan State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Friday, December 29, 2017    

BELK BOWL
Wake Forest vs. Texas A&M
The Demon Deacons were favored over the Aggies by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wake Forest by 3.94 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 64 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Wake Forest.
Result: ?? won ??.
  
HYUNDAI SUN BOWL
North Carolina State (NC State) vs. Arizona State
The Wolfpack were favored over the Sun Devils by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored NC State by 5.80 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 59.5 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for N.C. State.
Result: ?? won ??.
  
FRANKLIN AMERICAN MORTGAGE MUSIC CITY BOWL
Kentucky vs. Northwestern
The Wildcats of Northwestern were favored over the Wildcats of Kentucky by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Northwestern by 13.20 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 51 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Northwestern.
Result: ?? won ??.
 
NOVA HOME LOANS ARIZONA BOWL
Utah State vs. New Mexico State
The Aggies of Utah State were favored over the Aggies of New Mexico State by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Utah State by 8.06 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 61 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Utah State.
Result: ?? won ??.

GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL CLASSIC 
USC (Southern Cal) vs. Ohio State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Trojans by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio State by 9.43 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 64 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for Ohio State.
Result: ?? won ??.

Saturday, December 30, 2017   

TAXSLAYER BOWL
Louisville vs. Mississippi State
The Cardinals were favored over the Bulldogs by 5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisville by 1.32 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 61.5 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Louisville.
Result: ?? won ??.

AUTOZONE LIBERTY BOWL
Iowa State vs. Memphis
The Tigers were favored over the Cyclones by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa State by 0.01 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 65.5 points.
Our Call: 34-30 for Iowa State.
Result: ?? won ??.
 
PLAYSTATION FIESTA BOWL
Washington vs. Penn State
The Nittany Lions were favored over the Huskies by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Penn State by 4.6 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 55 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Penn State.
Result: ?? won ??.
  
CAPITAL ONE ORANGE BOWL
Wisconsin vs. Miami of Florida
The Badgers were favored over the Hurricanes by 6 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wisconsin by 7.13 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 45 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Wisconsin.
Result: ?? won ??.

Monday, January 1, 2018
    
OUTBACK BOWL
Michigan vs. South Carolina
The Wolverines were favored over the Gamecocks by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan by 8.39 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 43 points.
Our Call: 27-20 for Michigan.
Result: ?? won ??.

CHICK-FIL-A PEACH BOWL 
UCF (Central Florida) vs. Auburn
The Tigers were favored over the Knights by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Auburn by 6.75 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 65 points.
Our Call: 40-34 for Auburn.
Result: ?? won ??. As a Nebraska alum, we are great fans of Scott Frost and UCF and congratulate the Knights on their unbeaten regular season, and Frost for winning Coach of the Year accolades, and trust, as we already urged some years ago, that Frost proves to be the right man to lead the Nebraska Cornhuskers out of their current football abyss. However, this bowl matchup against one of the best defenses in the country could be a tough game for the Central Florida offense. Auburn allowed both Clemson and Alabama offenses only 14 points the entire game. If UCF can do better, even if they lose this game, they will have prevailed in principle in showcasing their modern spread offense. UCF would surely have preferred a matchup against a Big 5 high-ranked team having a strong offense but only an average defense, trading touchdown for touchdown, whereas if Malzahn's Tigers can shut down the UCF offense, it could be a long game for the Knights. We keep the spread low here to honor this season's UCF achievements, whereas the difference in schedule difficulty of the two teams would warrant a much higher spread. But who knows, one could be surprised. We hope so.

CITRUS BOWL PRESENTED BY OVERTON'S
Notre Dame vs. LSU
The Tigers were favored over the Fighting Irish by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 4.07 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for LSU.
Result: ?? won ??.

College Football Playoff Semifinal Game 1
ROSE BOWL GAME PRESENTED BY NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL
Georgia vs. Oklahoma
The game was seen as even. Take your pick.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia by 0.07 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 60 points.
Our Call: 41-27 for Oklahoma. Our stats give the Sooners a commanding edge.
Result: ?? won ??.

College Football Playoff Semifinal Game 2
ALLSTATE SUGAR BOWL
Alabama vs. Clemson
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Tigers by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 0.35 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 47 points.
Our Call: 24-17 for Alabama.
Result: ?? won ??.

Monday, January 8, 2018

College Football Playoff Championship Final Presented by AT&T 
Winner of Georgia vs. Oklahoma vs. Winner of Alabama vs. Clemson
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points.
The CFPT prediction average favored ?? by ?? points.
The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: ?? for ??.
Result: ?? won ??.


Tuesday, December 05, 2017

College Football Week 14 Predictions and Results 2017 NCAA Division I FBS December 1 to December 2 - Including Conference Championship Games

College Football Week 14 Predictions and Results 2017 NCAA Division I FBS December 1 to December 2 - Including Conference Championship Games

We finished this, the 14th Week, as follows:
10-6 in picking the winner,
6-8-2 against the spread,
5-10-1 against the CFPT average, and
8-8 against the over/under.


After Week 14, for the season we stand a cumulative:
635-195 in picking the winner
439-365-24 against the spread
394-343-1 against the CFPT average, and
405-413-10 against the over/under.

Below are the SportPundit predictions and (later-added) results for Week 14 of the NCAA Division I FBS College Football Season 2017-2018. Predictions THIS WEEK were based in part on this season's performance and in part on the final post-bowl and post-playoff rankings for the past football season. See the SportPundit Preseason College Football Rankings and Ratings for FBS 2017-2018. We also use USA Today Sagarin College Football Ratings, the Massey Ratings and the Dr. Kambour home field advantage calculations. We compose the schedule here using FoxSports, ESPN, NCCA.com and other online sources.

Our system is based -- but not exclusively -- on our system of what we have christened as "NAYPPA" stats (net average yards per play advantage), calibrated primarily by adjusting for schedule difficulty, i.e. the teams thus far played, an adjustment which should get better as the season goes along, but this proves not always to be the case. We use yards per play stats published at cfbstats.com. Other adjustments are also made (*=adjustment) because the ypp (yards per play) system is not perfect, often exacerbating stats made against much weaker or much stronger teams, nor can schedule difficulty always be pinpointed with accuracy since many schedules include FCS teams, especially at the beginning of the season.

We often use the Kambour home field advantage calculations or take a standard 3-point home field advantage ala Sagarin into account in predicting the scores.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

We use opening lines, as far as possible, taking those opening lines from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), unless not yet posted, in which case we  use Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders. We add over/unders as available, usually very late for matchups of FCS and FBS teams. All odds and stats are posted here by us WITHOUT ANY guarantee of accuracy, and WITHOUT ANY liability on our part for our posted materials or for links to 3rd party sites. We do our predictions here for fun. If odds and stats are important for the reader, the reader must consult the original sites.

Note that we write "was favored" or "were favored". The odds of the opening line are often changed by the time we make our predictions. We do not compete against those changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it. Note that there is no line given at CFPT for games between FCS and FBS opponents.

Friday, December 1, 2017

Stanford vs. USC
Pac 12 Conference Championship Game
USC was favored over Stanford by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
Stanford over USC by 0.81 points.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
Our call: 34-33 for Stanford. As a Stanford Law School alumnus, we are admittedly biased in favor of Stanford, but our stats here do actually favor Stanford by about a point.
Result: USC topped Stanford 31-28.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
0-1 in picking the winner,
0-0-1 against the spread,
0-1 against the CFPT average, and
1-0 against the over/under.


Akron vs. Toledo
MAC Conference Champioship Game
Toledo was favored over Akron by 18.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Rockets over Zips by 15.46 points.
The over/under was 56.5 points.
Our call: 38-24 for Toledo.
Result: Toledo won 45-28.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
1-1 in picking the winner,
1-0-1 against the spread,
0-2 against the CFPT average, and
2-0 against the over/under.


Saturday, December 2, 2017

Memphis vs. UCF
AAC Conference Championship Game
UCF was favored over Memphis by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
Central Florida over the Tigers by 6.09 points.
The over/under was 85.5 points.
Our call: 38-37 for the Knights. The ypp stats of the two teams are very close.
Result: UCF won in two overtimes 62-55.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
2-1 in picking the winner,
1-0-2 against the spread,
0-3 against the CFPT average, and
2-1 against the over/under.


Louisiana-Monroe at Florida State
Florida State was favored over ULM by 27 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Seminoles over the Warhawks by 24.20 points.
The over/under was 66 points.
Our call: 41-17 for Florida State.
Result: Florida State won 42-10.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
3-1 in picking the winner,
1-1-2 against the spread,
0-4 against the CFPT average, and
3-1 against the over/under.


Massachusetts at Florida International
FIU was favored over the Minutemen by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
FIU over UMass by 1.93 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our call: 31-27 for UMass.
Result: FIU won 63-45.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
3-2 in picking the winner,
1-2-2 against the spread,
0-5 against the CFPT average, and
3-2 against the over/under.


TCU vs. Oklahoma
Big 12 Conference Championship Game
Oklahoma was favored over TCU by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Sooners over the Horned Frogs by 4.46 points.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
Our call: 41-27 for Oklahoma.
Result: Oklahoma won 41-17.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
4-2 in picking the winner,
2-2-2 against the spread,
1-5 against the CFPT average, and
3-3 against the over/under.


North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic (FAU)
Conference USA Championship Game
FIU was favored over North Texas by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Owls over the Mean Green by 10.81 points.
The over/under was 74.5 points.
Our call: 34-27 for FAU.
Result: FAU beat the Mean Green 41-17.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
5-2 in picking the winner,
2-3-2 against the spread,
1-6 against the CFPT average, and
4-3 against the over/under.


Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
The game was seen as even. Take your pick.
The CFPT prediction average favored
Georgia Southern over the Chanticleers by 1.74 points.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
Our call: 31-27 for Georgia Southern.
Result: Coastal Carolina won 28-17.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
5-3 in picking the winner,
2-4-2 against the spread,
1-7 against the CFPT average, and
4-4 against the over/under.


Idaho at Georgia State
Georgia State was favored over Idaho by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Panthers over the Vandals by 4.40 points.
The over/under was 48.5 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Idaho.
Result: Idaho won 24-10.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
6-3 in picking the winner,
3-4-2 against the spread,
2-7 against the CFPT average, and
4-5 against the over/under.


Louisiana Lafayette (ULL) at Appalachian State
Appalachian State was favored over ULL by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Mountaineers over the Rahin' Cajuns by 13.98 points.
The over/under was 58.5/points.
Our call: 30-24 for Appalachian State.
Result: Appalachian State steamrolled the Ragin' Cajuns 63-14.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
7-3 in picking the winner,
3-5-2 against the spread,
2-8 against the CFPT average, and
4-6 against the over/under.


Georgia vs. Auburn
SEC Conference Championship Game
Auburn was favored over Georgia by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Tigers over the Dawgs by 0.83 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 31-24 for Auburn.
Result: Georgia won 28-7.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
7-4 in picking the winner,
3-6-2 against the spread,
2-9 against the CFPT average, and
4-7 against the over/under.


South Alabama at New Mexico State
New Mexico State was favored over the Jaguars by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Aggies over South Alabama by 6 points.
The over/under was 54.5 points.
Our call: 30-24 for New Mexico State.
Result: New Mexico State won 22-17.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
8-4 in picking the winner,
4-6-2 against the spread,
2-9-1 against the CFPT average, and
5-7 against the over/under.


Troy at Arkansas State
Arkansas State was favored over Troy by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Red Wolves over the Trojans by 0.83 points.
The over/under was 58.5/points.
Our call: 31-27 for Troy.
Result: Troy won 32-25.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
9-4 in picking the winner,
5-6-2 against the spread,
3-9-1 against the CFPT average, and
6-7 against the over/under.


Fresno State at Boise State
Mountain West Conference Championship Game
Boise State was favored over the Bulldogs by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Broncos over Fresno State by 7.37 points.
The over/under was 49 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Fresno State
Result: Boise State won 17-14.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
9-5 in picking the winner,
6-6-2 against the spread,
4-9-1 against the CFPT average, and
6-8 against the over/under.


Miami of Florida vs Clemson
ACC Conference Championship Game
Clemson was favored over Miami by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Tigers over the Hurricanes by 6.66 points.
The over/under was 47.5 points.
Our call: 24-23 for Miami of Florida
Result: Clemson won 38-3. The final score was much worse than the stats as Miami averaged 3.6 yards per play and Clemson 4.4 yards per play, with the Tigers outgaining the Hurricanes 331 to 214 yards.
Thus far this 14th Week we are
9-6 in picking the winner,
6-7-2 against the spread,
4-10-1 against the CFPT average, and
7-8 against the over/under.


Ohio State vs. Wisconsin
Big Ten Conference Championship Game
Ohio State was favored over Wisconsin by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored
the Buckeyes over the Badgers  by 1 point.
The over/under was 53 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Ohio State
Result: Ohio State won 27-21.
We finished the 14th Week as follows:
10-6 in picking the winner,
6-8-2 against the spread,
5-10-1 against the CFPT average, and
8-8 against the over/under.


Sunday, November 26, 2017

College Football Week 13 Predictions and Results 2017 NCAA Division I FBS November 21 to November 25

College Football Week 13 Predictions and Results 2017 NCAA Division I FBS November 21 to November 25

We finished this the 13th Week
51-11 in picking the winner,
38-23-1 against the spread,
41-21 against the CFPT average, and
27-35 against the over/under.


After Week 13, for the season we stand a cumulative:
625-189 in picking the winner
433-357-22 against the spread
389-333 against the CFPT average, and

397-405-10 against the over/under.

Below are the SportPundit predictions and (later-added) results for Week 13 of the NCAA Division I FBS College Football Season 2017-2018. Predictions THIS WEEK were based in part on this season's performance and in part on the final post-bowl and post-playoff rankings for the past football season. See the SportPundit Preseason College Football Rankings and Ratings for FBS 2017-2018. We also use USA Today Sagarin College Football Ratings, the Massey Ratings and the Dr. Kambour home field advantage calculations. We compose the schedule here using FoxSports, ESPN, NCCA.com and other online sources.
 

Our system is based -- but not exclusively -- on our system of what we have christened as "NAYPPA" stats (net average yards per play advantage), calibrated primarily by adjusting for schedule difficulty, i.e. the teams thus far played, an adjustment which should get better as the season goes along, but this proves not always to be the case. We use yards per play stats published at cfbstats.com. Other adjustments are also made (*=adjustment) because the ypp (yards per play) system is not perfect, often exacerbating stats made against much weaker or much stronger teams, nor can schedule difficulty always be pinpointed with accuracy since many schedules include FCS teams, especially at the beginning of the season.

We often use the Kambour home field advantage calculations or take a standard 3-point home field advantage ala Sagarin into account in predicting the scores.


Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win. 

We use opening lines, as far as possible, taking those opening lines from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), unless not yet posted, in which case we  use Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders. We add over/unders as available, usually very late for matchups of FCS and FBS teams. All odds and stats are posted here by us WITHOUT ANY guarantee of accuracy, and WITHOUT ANY liability on our part for our posted materials or for links to 3rd party sites. We do our predictions here for fun. If odds and stats are important for the reader, the reader must consult the original sites.

Note that we write "were favored". The odds of the opening line are often changed by the time we make our predictions. We do not compete against those changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it. Note that there is no line given at CFPT for games between FCS and FBS opponents.


Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Miami of Ohio at Ball State
The Redhawks were favored over the Cardinals by 18.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami of Ohio by 14.53 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 58 points.
Our Call: 38-17 for Miami of Ohio.
Result: Miami won 28-7.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
1-0 in picking the winner,
1-0 gainst the spread,
1-0 aainst the CFPT average, and
1-0 against the over/under.

Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan
The Eagles were favored over the Falcons by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Eastern Michigan by 14.72 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 59.5 points.
Our Call: 38-21 for Eastern Michigan.
Result: Eastern Michigan won 34-31.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
2-0 in picking the winner,
1-1 against the spread,
1-1 against the CFPT average, and
1-1 against the over/under.


Kent State at Akron
The Zips were favored over the Golden Flashes by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Akron by 18.85 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 45.5 points.
Our Call: 31-20 for Akron.
Result: Akron won 24-14.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
3-0 in picking the winner,
2-1 against the spread,
2-1 against the CFPT average, and
1-2 against the over/under.


Thursday, November 23, 2017

Mississippi at Mississippi State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Rebels by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Mississippi State by 16.35 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Mississippi State.
Result: Ole Miss won 31-28.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
3-1 in picking the winner,
3-1 against the spread,
3-1 against the CFPT average, and
2-2 against the over/under.


Friday, November 24, 2017

Western Michigan at Toledo
The Rockets were favored over the Broncos by 12 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Toledo by 9.13 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 61.5 points.
Our Call: 38-24 for Toledo.
Result: Toledo won 37-10.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
4-1 in picking the winner,
4-1 against the spread,
4-1 against the CFPT average, and
2-3 against the over/under.


Northern Illinois at Central Michigan
The Huskies were favored over the Chippewas by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Northern Illinois by 3.04 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 30-24 for Northern Illinois.
Result: Central Michigan won 31-24.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
4-2 in picking the winner,
4-2 against the spread,
4-2 against the CFPT average, and
3-3 against the over/under.

Miami of Florida at Pittsburgh
The Hurricanes were favored over the Panthers by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami by 15.72 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50 points.
Our Call: 37-17 for Miami.
Result: Pitt won 24-14.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
4-3 in picking the winner,
4-3 against the spread,
4-3 against the CFPT average, and
3-4 against the over/under.


Baylor at TCU
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Bears by 23.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored TCU by 26.41 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50.5 points.
Our Call: 40-17 for TCU.
Result: TCU won 45-22.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
5-3 in picking the winner,
5-3 against the spread,
5-3 against the CFPT average, and
4-4 against the over/under.


Navy at Houston
The Cougars were favored over the Midshipmen by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Houston by 2.61 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 54.5 points.
Our Call: 31-24 for Houston.
Result: Houston won 24-14.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
6-3 in picking the winner,
6-3 against the spread,
6-3 against the CFPT average, and
4-5 against the over/under.


Ohio at Buffalo
The Bobcats were favored over the Bulls by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio by 6.95 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 60 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Buffalo.
Result: Buffalo won 31-24.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
7-3 in picking the winner,
7-3 against the spread,
7-3 against the CFPT average, and
4-6 against the over/under.


Missouri at Arkansas
The Tigers were favored over the Razorbacks by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Missouri by 7.05 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 71 points.
Our Call: 35-34 for Arkansas.
Result: Missouri won 48-45.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
7-4 in picking the winner,
8-3 against the spread,
8-3 against the CFPT average, and
4-7 against the over/under.


South Florida (USF) at Central Florida (UCF)
The Knights were favored over the Bulls by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UCF by 11.06 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 63.5 points.
Our Call: 38-24 for UCF.
Result: UCF won 49-42.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
8-4 in picking the winner,
8-4 against the spread,
8-4 against the CFPT average, and
4-8 against the over/under.


New Mexico at San Diego State
The Aztecs were favored over the Lobos by 18.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored San Diego State by 21.19 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 48 points.
Our Call: 35-21 for San Diego State.
Result: San Diego State won 35-10.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
9-4 in picking the winner,
8-5 against the spread,
8-5 against the CFPT average, and
4-9 against the over/under.


Texas State at Troy
The Trojans were favored over the Bobcats by 24.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Troy by 23.80 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 48 points.
Our Call: 38-14 for Troy.
Result: Troy won 62-9.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
10-4 in picking the winner,
8-6 against the spread,
9-5 against the CFPT average, and
5-9 against the over/under.


Iowa at Nebraska
The Hawkeyes were favored over the Cornhuskers by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa by 7.13 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 54 points.
Our Call: 31-24 for Iowa. On paper and to our surprise, our stats would call this game a toss-up even though we subjectively feel the Huskers will lose this game, to end the current "transitional" era into ignominious mediocrity. Will Scott Frost come back to save the Big Red future fortunes starting  next season -- after 20 years of controversial head coaching hires, made against our alumni advice? We doubt it. It is too late. Frost should have been hired some years ago, as we at that time urged on these same pages, just as we championed Urban Meyer for Nebraska when he was still at Bowling Green, all to no avail. NU will now have to dig themselves out of their own, incompetently created hole. The NU university administration could have paid more serious attention all along to the advice of smart, sport-knowledgeable alumni such as myself. They did not do so. The resulting fall from grace of the football program was thus as good as pre-programmed.
Result: Iowa won 56-14. After a 7-7 tie score at halftime, the Hawkeyes won going away.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
11-4 in picking the winner,
9-6 against the spread,
9-6 against the CFPT average, and
6-9 against the over/under.


Western Kentucky at Florida International (FIU)
The Hilltoppers were favored over the Golden Panthers by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored FIU by 0.63 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 53 points.
Our Call: 31-24 for FIU.
Result: FIU won 41-17.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
12-4 in picking the winner,
10-6 against the spread,
10-6 against the CFPT average, and
7-9 against the over/under.


Virginia Tech at Virginia
The Hokies were favored over the Cavaliers by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Virginia Tech by 10.81 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Virginia Tech.
Result: Virginia Tech won 10-0.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
13-4 in picking the winner,
10-7 against the spread,
11-6 against the CFPT average, and
7-10 against the over/under.


Texas Tech at Texas
The Longhorns were favored over the Red Raiders by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas by 10.95 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 55.5 points.
Our Call: 31-27 for Texas.
Result: Texas Tech won 27-23.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
13-5 in picking the winner,
11-7 against the spread,
12-6 against the CFPT average, and
7-11 against the over/under.


California at UCLA
The Bruins were favored over the Golden Bears by 8 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UCLA by 3.30 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 64 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for UCLA.
Result: UCLA won 30-27.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
14-5 in picking the winner,
12-7 against the spread,
13-6 against the CFPT average, and
8-11 against the over/under.


Saturday, November 25, 2017

Alabama at Auburn
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Tigers by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Alabama by 3.64 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 47.5 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Auburn. Alabama currently has NAYPPA stats (net average yards per play advantage) which would put this Crimson Tide team among the greatest teams of all time, as judged by that parameter, except that their opposition this season has been weaker on average. Can they beat a resurgent Auburn team? See
http://sportpundit.blogspot.com/2009/10/best-college-football-teams-of-all-time.html?m=1
Result: Auburn won 26-14. Malzahn is back! Have the 4-team college playoffs met their Armageddon? Go UCF!
Thus far this 13th Week we are
15-5 in picking the winner,
13-7 against the spread,
14-6 against the CFPT average, and
8-12 against the over/under.


Penn State at Maryland
The Nittany Lions were favored over the Terrapins by 21 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Penn State by 21.38 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 56.5 points.
Our Call: 35-21 for Penn State.
Result: Penn State won 66-3.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
16-5 in picking the winner,
13-8 against the spread,
14-7 against the CFPT average, and
8-13 against the over/under.
 

Kansas at Oklahoma State
The Cowboys were favored over the No Handshakers by 40.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma State by 37 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 70  points.
Our Call: 80-0 for Oklahoma State.
Result: Oklahoma State won 58-17.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
17-5 in picking the winner,
14-8 against the spread,
15-7 against the CFPT average, and
9-13 against the over/under.
 

Washington State at Washington
The Huskies were favored over the Cougars by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington by 9.62 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 48.5 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Washington.
Result: Washington won 41-14.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
18-5 in picking the winner,
15-8 against the spread,
16-7 against the CFPT ², and
9-14 against the over/under. 


Michigan State at Rutgers
The Spartans were favored over the Scarlet Knights 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan State by 11.98 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 39.5 points.
Our Call:  31-14 for Michigan State.
Result: Michigan State won 40-7.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
19-5 in picking the winner,
16-8 against the spread,
17-7 against the CFPT average, and
10-14 against the over/under.


Northwestern at Illinois
The Wildcats were favored over the Illini by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Northwestern by 20.10 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 45.5 points.
Our Call: 28-17 for Northwestern.
Result: Northwestern won 42-7.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
20-5 in picking the winner,
16-9 against the spread,
17-8 against the CFPT average, and
10-15 against the over/under.


Arizona at Arizona State
The game was sern as even. Take your pick.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arizona State  by 1.54 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 73.5 points.
Our Call: 38-35 for Arizona State.
Result: Arizona State won 42-30.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
21-5 in picking the winner,
17-9 against the spread,
18-8 against the CFPT average, and
11-15 against the over/under.


Colorado at Utah
The Utes were favored over the Buffaloes by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Utah by 7.52 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 56 points.
Our Call: 35-23 for Utah.
Result: Utah won 34-13.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
22-5 in picking the winner,
18-9 against the spread,
19-8 against the CFPT average, and
11-16 against the over/under.


UTEP (Texas El Paso) at UAB (Alabama Birmingham)
The Blazers were favored over the Miners  by 20 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UAB by 20.87 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 47 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for UAB.
Result: UAB won 28-7.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
23-5 in picking the winner,
18-10 against the spread,
19-9 against the CFPT average, and
11-17 against the over/under.


Tulane at SMU (Southern Methodist)
The Mustangs were favored over the Grern Wave by 8 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored SMU by 7.78 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 67.5 points.
Our Call: 41-31 for SMU.
Result: SMU won 41-38.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
24-5 in picking the winner,
18-11 against the spread,
19-10 against the CFPT average, and
12-17 against the over/under.

Georgia at Georgia Tech
The Dawgs were favored over the Yellow Jackets by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia by 9.84 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 52 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Georgia.
Result: Georgia won 38-7.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
25-5 in picking the winner,
18-12 against the spread,
19-11 against the CFPT average, and
12-18 against the over/under.

Ohio State at Michigan
The Buckeyes were favored over the Wolverines by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio State by 7.73 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50.5 points.
Our Call: 31-20 for Ohio State.
Result: Ohio State won 31-20. We picked the score exactly, a rarity.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
26-5 in picking the winner,
19-12 against the spread,
20-11 against the CFPT average, and
13-18 against the over/under.


East Carolina at Memphis
The Tigers were favored over the Pirates by 27 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 26.76 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 79 points.
Our Call: 49-23 for Memphis.
Result: Memphis won 70-13.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
27-5 in picking the winner,
19-13 against the spread,
20-12 against the CFPT average, and
13-19 against the over/under.


Connecticut at Cincinnati
The Bearcats were favored over the Huskies by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cincinnati by 4.14 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 59 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Cincinnati.
Result: Cincy won 22-21.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
28-5 in picking the winner,
20-13 against the spread,
21-12 against the CFPT average, and
14-19 against the over/under.


Indiana at Purdue
The Boilermakers were favored over the Hoosiers by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Purdue by 4.54 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 47 points.
Our Call: 27-21 for Purdue.
Result: Purdue won 31-24.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
29-5 in picking the winner,
21-13 against the spread,
22-12 against the CFPT average, and
15-19 against the over/under.

Florida State at Florida
The Seminoles were favored over the Gators by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Florida State by 3.12 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 44 points.
Our Call: 27-20 for Florida State
Result: Florida State won 38-22.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
30-5 in picking the winner,
22-13 against the spread,
23-12 against the CFPT average, and
16-19 against the over/under.

Louisville at Kentucky
The Cardinals were favored over the Wildcats by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisville by 7.20 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 68 points.
Our Call: 41-24 for Louisville.
Result: Louisville won 44-17.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
31-5 in picking the winner,
23-13 against the spread,
24-12 against the CFPT average, and
17-19 against the over/under.

Boston College at Syracuse
The Eagles were favored over the Orange by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boston College by 4.02 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 54.5 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Syracuse.
Result: Boston College won 42-14.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
31-6 in picking the winner,
23-14 against the spread,
24-13 against the CFPT average, and
17-20 against the over/under.

Duke at Wake Forest
The Demon Deacons were favored over the Blue Devils by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wake Forest by 10.24 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 57 points.
Our Call: 41-17 for Wake Forest.
Result: Duke won 31-23.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
31-7 in picking the winner,
23-15 against the spread,
24-14 against the CFPT average, and
17-21 against the over/under.

North Texas at Rice
The Mean Green were favored over the Owls by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored North Texas by 14.65 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 63.5 points.
Our Call: 39-27 for North Texas.
Result: North Texas won 30-14.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
32-7 in picking the winner,
23-16 against the spread,
24-15 against the CFPT average, and
17-22 against the over/under.

Appalachian State at Georgia State
The Mountaineers were favored over the Panthers by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Appalachian State by 5.51 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 51.5 points.
Our Call: 34-20 for Appalachian State.
Result: Appalachian State won 31-10.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
33-7 in picking the winner,
24-16 against the spread,
25-15 against the CFPT average, and
17-23 against the over/under.

Florida Atlantic (FAU) at Charlotte
The Owls were favored over the 49ers by 22.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored FAU by 26.85 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 64 points.
Our Call: 44-14 for FAU.
Result: FAU won 31-12.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
34-7 in picking the winner,
24-17 against the spread,
25-16 against the CFPT average, and
18-23 against the over/under.

Southern Mississippi at Marshall
The Thundering Herd were favored over the Golden Eagles by 5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Marshall by 6.33 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 48 points.
Our Call: 26-24 for Southern Miss.
Result: Southern Miss won 28-27.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
35-7 in picking the winner,
25-17 against the spread,
26-16 against the CFPT average, and
19-23 against the over/under.

Old Dominion at Middle Tennessee (MTSU)
The Blue Raiders were favored over the Monarchs by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored MTSU by 6.30 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 49.5 points.
Our Call: 33-17 for Middle Tennessee.
Result: Middle Tennessee won 41-10.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
36-7 in picking the winner,
26-17 against the spread,
27-16 against the CFPT average, and
20-23 against the over/under.

Arkansas State at Louisiana Monroe (ULM)
The Red Wolves were favored over the Warhawks by 8 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arkansas State by 7.43 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 69 points.
Our Call: 37-30 for Arkansas State
Result: Arkansas State won 67-50.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
37-7 in picking the winner,
26-18 against the spread,
27-17 against the CFPT average, and
20-24 against the over/under.

UNLV at Nevada
The Wolf Pack were favored over the Rebels  by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Nevada by 2.45 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 68 points.
Our Call: 38-27 for Nevada.
Result: Nevada won 23-16.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
38-7 in picking the winner,
27-18 against the spread,
28-17 against the CFPT average, and
21-24 against the over/under.

Wisconsin at Minnesota
The Badgers were favored over the Golden Gophers by 16 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wisconsin by 18.67 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 42 points.
Our Call: 34-14 for Wisconsin.
Result: Wisconsin won 31-0.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
39-7 in picking the winner,
28-18 against the spread,
29-17 against the CFPT average, and
21-25 against the over/under.

North Carolina at North Carolina State
The Wolfpack were favored over the Tar Heels by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored NC State by 15.05 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 55 points.
Our Call: 34-20 for N.C.State
Result: N.C. State won 33-21.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
40-7 in picking the winner,
29-18 against the spread,
30-17 against the CFPT average, and
22-25 against the over/under.

Boise State at Fresno State
The Broncos were favored over the Bulldogs by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boise State by 7.03 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 48.5 points.
Our Call: 27-23 for Boise State
Result: Fresno State won 28-17.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
40-8 in picking the winner,
30-18 against the spread,
31-17 against the CFPT average, and
22-26 against the over/under.

Iowa State at Kansas State
The Wildcats were favored over the Cyclones by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa State by 0.72 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 49.5 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Kansas State.
Result: Kansas State won 20-19.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
41-8 in picking the winner,
31-18 against the spread,
32-17 against the CFPT average, and
22-27 against the over/under.

West Virginia at Oklahoma
The Sooners were favored over the Mountaineers by 19.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 17.60 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 68.5 points.
Our Call: 45-24 for Oklahoma.
Result: Oklahoma won 59-31.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
42-8 in picking the winner,
32-18 against the spread,
33-17 against the CFPT average, and
23-27 against the over/under.

Vanderbilt at Tennessee
The Volunteers were favored over the Commodores by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored Tennessee by 6.24 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 45.5 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Tennessee.
Result: Vandy won 42-24.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
42-9 in picking the winner,
32-19 against the spread,
34-17 against the CFPT average, and
24-27 against the over/under.

Temple at Tulsa
The Owls were favored over the Golden Hurricane by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Tulsa by 0.08 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 59 points.
Our Call: 38-27 for Temple.
Result: Temple won 43-22.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
43-9 in picking the winner,
33-19 against the spread,
35-17 against the CFPT average, and
25-27 against the over/under.

Idaho at New Mexico State
The Aggies were favored over the Vandals by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored New Mexico State by 5.34 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 56.5 points.
Our Call: 34-23 for New Mexico State.
Result: New Mexico State won 17-10.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
44-9 in picking the winner,
33-19-1 against the spread,
36-17 against the CFPT average, and
25-28 against the over/under.

Georgia Southern at Louisiana Lafayette
The Ragin' Cajuns were favored over the Eagles by 6 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored ULL by 6.30.points.
The O/U (over/under) was 57 points.
Our Call: 31-24 for Georgia Southern. Chad Lundsford replaced Tyson Summers as football (interim) head coach mid-season and, after three more losses, the Eagles suddenly surfaced from the ranks of the winless with an amazing 52-0 shutout of South Alabama. What a terrific turnaround. We are not calling against the Eagles here.
Result: Georgia Southern won 34-24.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
45-9 in picking the winner,
34-19-1 against the spread,
37-17 against the CFPT average, and
25-29 against the over/under.

Wyoming at San Jose State
The Cowboys were favored over the Spartans by 22 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wyoming by 24.18 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 48.5 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Wyoming.
Result: San Jose State won 20-17.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
45-10 in picking the winner,
35-19-1 against the spread,
38-17 against the CFPT average, and
25-30 against the over/under.

Oregon State at Oregon
The Ducks were favored over the Beavers by 21.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oregon by 20.41 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 34-14 for Oregon.
Result: Oregon won 69-10.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
46-10 in picking the winner,
35-20-1 against the spread,
38-18 against the CFPT average, and
25-31 against the over/under.

Clemson at South Carolina
The Tigers were favored over the Gamecocks by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 15.52 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 46.5 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Clemson.
Result: Clemson won 34-10.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
47-10 in picking the winner,
36-20-1 against the spread,
39-18 against the CFPT average, and
25-32 against the over/under.

Texas A&M at LSU
The Tigers were favored over the Aggies by 10.50 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored LSU by 8.60 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50 points.
Our Call: 34-20 for LSU.
Result: LSU won 45-21.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
48-10 in picking the winner,
37-20-1 against the spread,
40-18 against the CFPT average, and
26-32 against the over/under.

UTSA (Texas San Antonio) at Louisiana Tech
The Bulldogs were favored over the Roadrunners by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisiana Tech by 1.74 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50.5 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Louisiana Tech.
Result: Louisiana Tech won 20-6.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
49-10 in picking the winner,
37-21-1 against the spread,
40-19 against the CFPT average, and
26-33 against the over/under.

Notre Dame at Stanford
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Cardinal by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 2.3 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 57 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Stanford.
Result: Stanford won 38-20.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
50-10 in picking the winner,
38-21-1 against the spread,
41-19 against the CFPT average, and
26-34 against the over/under.

BYU at Hawaii
The Cougars were favored over the Warriors by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored BYU by 4.52 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 48 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for BYU
Result: BYU won 30-20.
Thus far this 13th Week we are
51-10 in picking the winner,
38-22-1 against the spread,
41-20 against the CFPT average, and
27-34 against the over/under.

Utah State at Air Force
The Falcons were favored over the Aggies by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Utah State by 0.55 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 57 points.
Our Call: 28-27 for Utah State.
Result: Air Force won 38-35.
We finished this the 13th Week
51-11 in picking the winner,
38-23-1 against the spread,
41-21 against the CFPT average, and
27-35 against the over/under.


!


Sunday, November 19, 2017

College Football Week 12 Predictions and Results 2017 NCAA Division I FBS November 14 to November 18

College Football Week 12 Predictions and Results 2017 NCAA Division I FBS November 14 to November 18

For the 12th Week we finished:
49-16 in picking the winner,
32-31-2 against the spread,
32-28 against the CFPT average, and
33-32 against the over/under.

After Week 12, for the season we stand a cumulative:
574-178 in picking the winner
395-334-21 against the spread
348-312 against the CFPT average, and

370-370-10 against the over/under.

Below are the SportPundit predictions and results for Week 12 of the NCAA Division I FBS College Football Season 2017-2018. Predictions THIS WEEK were based in part on this season's performance and in part on the final post-bowl and post-playoff rankings for the past football season. See the SportPundit Preseason College Football Rankings and Ratings for FBS 2017-2018. We also use USA Today Sagarin College Football Ratings, the Massey Ratings and the Dr. Kambour home field advantage calculations. We compose the schedule here using FoxSports, ESPN, NCCA.com and other online sources.
 

Our system is based -- but not exclusively -- on our system of what we have christened as "NAYPPA" stats (net average yards per play advantage), calibrated primarily by adjusting for schedule difficulty, i.e. the teams thus far played, an adjustment which should get better as the season goes along, but this proves not always to be the case. We use yards per play stats published at cfbstats.com. Other adjustments are also made (*=adjustment) because the ypp (yards per play) system is not perfect, often exacerbating stats made against much weaker or much stronger teams, nor can schedule difficulty always be pinpointed with accuracy since many schedules include FCS teams, especially at the beginning of the season.

We often use the Kambour home field advantage calculations or take a standard 3-point home field advantage ala Sagarin into account in predicting the scores.


Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win. 

We use opening lines, as far as possible, taking those opening lines from the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT), unless not yet posted, in which case we  use Oddsshark and VegasInsider.com -- also for the over/unders. We add over/unders as available, usually very late for matchups of FCS and FBS teams. All odds and stats are posted here by us WITHOUT ANY guarantee of accuracy, and WITHOUT ANY liability on our part for our posted materials or for links to 3rd party sites. We do our predictions here for fun. If odds and stats are important for the reader, the reader must consult the original sites.

Note that we write "were favored". The odds of the opening line are often changed by the time we make our predictions. We do not compete against those changed odds because we are not competing against bettors. We use the College Football Prediction Tracker (CFPT) prediction average as of the date that we find it. Note that there is no line given at CFPT for games between FCS and FBS opponents.


Tuesday, November 14, 2017

Ohio at Akron
The Bobcats were favored over the Zips by 12 points
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio by 10.12 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 51.5 points.
Our Call: 30-23 for Ohio.
Result: Akron won 37-34.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
0-1 in picking the winner,
1-0 against the spread,
1-0 gainst the CFPT average, and
1-0 against the over/under.

Central Michigan at Kent State
The Chippewas were favored over the Golden Flashes by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Central Michigan by 16.97 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 46.5 points.
Our Call:  34-14 for Central Michigan.
Result: Central Michigan won 42-23.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
1-1 in picking the winner,
2-0 against the spread,
2-0 against the CFPT average, and
2-0 against the over/under.

Wednesday, November 15, 2017

Eastern Michigan at Miami of Ohio
The Redhawks were favored over the Eagles by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Eastern Michigan by 0.90 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 49.5 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Miami of Ohio.
Result: Eastern Michigan won 27-24.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
1-2 in picking the winner,
2-1 against the spread,
2-1 against the CFPT average, and
3-0 against the over/under.

Western Michigan at Northern Illinois
The Huskies were favored over the Broncos by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Northern Illinois by 6.22 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 52.5 points.
Our Call: 27-21 for Northern Illinois.
Result: Northern Illinois won 35-31.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
2-2 in picking the winner,
3-1 against the spread,
3-1 against the CFPT average, and
3-1 against the over/under.

Toledo at Bowling Green
The Rockets were favored over the Falcons by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Toledo by 16.85 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 66 points.
Our Call: 44-17 for Toledo.
Result: Toledo won 66-37.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
3-2 in picking the winner,
4-1 against the spread,
4-1 against the CFPT average, and
3-2 against the over/under.

Thursday, November 16, 2017

Buffalo at Ball State
The Bulls were favored over the Cardinals by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Buffalo by 15.43 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 56.5 points.
Our Call: 38-17 for Buffalo.
Result: Buffalo won 40-24.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
4-2 in picking the winner,
4-2 against the spread,
5-1 against the CFPT average, and
3-3 against the over/under.

Tulsa at South Florida (USF)
The Bulls were favored over the Golden Hurricane by 23 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored USF by 18.23 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 56 points.
Our Call: 41-17 for South Florida.
Result: USF won 27-20.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
5-2 in picking the winner,
4-3 against the spread,
5-2 against the CFPT average, and
3-4 against the over/under.

Friday, November 17, 2017

Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky
The Blue Raiders were favored over the Hilltoppers by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Western Kentucky by 3.55 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Middle Tennessee.
Result: Western Kentucky won 41-38 in three overtimes.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
5-3 in picking the winner,
4-4 against the spread,
6-2 against the CFPT average, and
3-5 against the over/under.

UNLV at New Mexico
The Lobos were favored over the Rebels by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored New Mexico by 0.36 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 56 points.
Our Call:  34-31 for UNLV.
Result: UNLV won 38-35.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
6-3 in picking the winner,
5-4 against the spread,
7-2 against the CFPT average, and
4-5 against the over/under.

Saturday, November 18, 2017p

Mercer (FCS) at Alabama
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Bears by 49 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 58 points.
Our Call: 41-7 for Alabama.
Result: Alabama won 56-0.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
7-3 in picking the winner,
5-5 against the spread,
7-2 against the CFPT average, and
5-5 against the over/under.

TCU at Texas Tech
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Red Raiders by 6 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored TCU by 9.91 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 58.5 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for TCU.
Result: TCU won 27-3.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
8-3 in picking the winner,
6-5 against the spread,
7-3 against the CFPT average, and
5-6 against the over/under.

Virginia at Miami of Florida
The Hurricanes were favored over the Cavaliers by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Miami by 24.81 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50.5 points.
Our Call: 41-14 for Miami.
Result: Miami won 44-28.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
9-3 in picking the winner,
6-6 against the spread,
7-4 against the CFPT average, and
6-6 against the over/under.

Michigan at Wisconsin
The Badgers were favored over the Wolverines by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wisconsin by 10.19 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 41 points.
Our Call:  24-23 for Michigan. We have a Michigan grad in the family, so this is a biased call. Our season stats would otherwise favor Wisconsin by 5 points, but the Wolverines have a new quarterback in sophomore Brandon Peters, who is thus far 3-0 as a starter.
Result: Wisconsin won 24-10. The Wolverines have no offense.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
9-4 in picking the winner,
6-7 against the spread,
7-5 against the CFPT average, and
6-7 against the over/under.

Louisiana Monroe (ULM) at Auburn
The Tigers were favored over the Warhawks by 37 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Auburn by 40 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 68.5 points.
Our Call: 54-7 for Auburn.
Result: Auburn won 42-14.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
10-4 in picking the winner,
6-8 against the spread,
7-6 against the CFPT average, and
7-7 against the over/under.

Mississippi State at Arkansas
The Bulldogs were favored over the Razorbacks by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Mississippi State by 15.5 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 59 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for Mississippi State.
Result: Mississippi State won 28-21.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
11-4 in picking the winner,
7-8 against the spread,
8-6 against the CFPT average, and
8-7 against the over/under.

Central Florida (UCF) at Temple
The Knights were favored over the Owls by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored UCF by 14.69 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 57 points.
Our Call: 44-20 for UCF.
Result: UCF won 45-19, going to 10-0 for the season. Our predicted score was pretty close!
Thus far this 12th Week we are
12-4 in picking the winner,
8-8 against the spread,
9-6 against the CFPT average, and
9-7 against the over/under.

SMU at Memphis
The Tigers were favored over the Mustangs by 11.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 10.92 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 75.5 points.
Our Call: 41-27 for Memphis.
Result:Memphis won 66-45.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
13-4 in picking the winner,
9-8 against the spread,
10-6 against the CFPT average, and
9-8 against the over/under.

Minnesota at Northwestern
The Wildcats were favored over the Golden Gophers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Northwestern by 8.49 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 45.5 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Northwestern.
Result: Northwestern shut out Minnesota 39-0.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
14-4 in picking the winner,
9-9 against the spread,
10-7 against the CFPT average, and
9-9 against the over/under.

Rutgers at Indiana
The Hoosiers were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Indiana by 8.13 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 49.5 points.
Our Call: 27-20 for Indiana.
Result: Indiana shut out Rutgers 41-0.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
15-4 in picking the winner,
9-10 against the spread,
10-8 against the CFPT average, and
10-9 against the over/under.

Delaware State (FCS) at Florida State
The Seminoles were favored over the Hornets by 51.5 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 51-7 for Florida State.
Result: Florida State won 77-6.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
16-4 in picking the winner,
9-11 against the spread,
10-8 against the CFPT average, and
10-10 against the over/under.

Texas at West Virginia
The Mountaineers were favored over the Longhorns by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored West Virginia by 3.26 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 55.5 points.
Our Call: 31-30 for Texas.
Result: The Longhorns won 28-14.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
17-4 in picking the winner,
10-11 against the spread,
11-8 against the CFPT average, and
10-11 against the over/under.

Cincinnati at East Carolina
The Bearcats were favored over the Pirates by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Cincinatti by 3.78 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 64.5 points.
Our Call: 37-27 for Cincinnati.
Result: East Carolina won 48-20.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
17-5 in picking the winner,
10-12 against the spread,
11-9 against the CFPT average, and
10-12 against the over/under.

The Citadel (FCS) at Clemson
The Tigers were favored over the Bulldogs by 46.5 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 55 points.
Our Call: 52-14 for Clemson.
Result: Clemson won 61-3.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
18-5 in picking the winner,
10-13 against the spread,
11-9 against the CFPT average, and
11-12 against the over/under.

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
The Hokies were favored over the Panthers by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Virginia Tech by 17.33 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 51 points.
Our Call: 34-20 for Virginia Tech.
Result: Virginia Tech won 20-14.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
19-5 in picking the winner,
11-13 against the spread,
12-9 against the CFPT average, and
11-13 against the over/under.

Rice at Old Dominion
The Monarchs were favored over the Owls by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Old Dominion by 13.37 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 53 points.
Our Call: 31-27 for Old Dominion.
Result: Old Dominion won 24-21.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
20-5 in picking the winner,
12-13 against the spread,
13-9 against the CFPT average, and
11-14 against the over/under.

Fresno State at Wyoming
The Cowboys were favored over the Bulldogs by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wyoming by 4.47 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 41.5 points.
Our Call: 24-23 for Wyoming.
Result: Fresno State won 13-7.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
20-6 in picking the winner,
12-13-1 against the spread,
14-9 against the CFPT average, and
11-15 against the over/under.

Iowa State at Baylor
The Cyclones were favored over the Bears by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa State by 14.86 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 54.5 points.
Our Call: 38-17 for Iowa State.
Result: Iowa State won 23-13.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
21-6 in picking the winner,
12-13-2 against the spread,
14-10 against the CFPT average, and
11-16 against the over/under.

Hawaii at Utah State
The Aggies were favored over the Warriors by 10 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Utah State by 13.70 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 56.5 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Utah State.
Result: Utah State shut out Hawaii 38-0.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
22-6 in picking the winner,
12-14-2 against the spread,
14-11 against the CFPT average, and
11-17 against the over/under.

Massachusetts at BYU
The Cougars were favored over the Minutemen by 3.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored BYU by 3.24 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 52 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for UMass.
Result: UMass won 16-10.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
23-6 in picking the winner,
13-14-2 against the spread,
15-11 against the CFPT average, and
11-18 against the over/under.

Louisiana Tech at UTEP
The Bulldogs were favored over the Miners by 15.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisiana Tech by 15.83 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 49.5 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Louisiana Tech.
Result: Louisiana Tech won 42-21.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
24-6 in picking the winner,
14-14-2 against the spread,
16-11 against the CFPT average, and
12-18 against the over/under.

Texas State at Arkansas State
The Red Wolves were favored over the Bobcats by 24.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arkansas State by 24.61 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 59 points.
Our Call: 41-14 for Arkansas State
Result: Arkansas State won 30-12.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
25-6 in picking the winner,
14-15-2 against the spread,
16-12 against the CFPT average, and
13-18 against the over/under.

South Alabama at Georgia Southern
The Jaguars were favored over the Eagles by 6 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored South Alabama by 8.02 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 47 points.
Our Call: 31-20 for South Alabama.
Result: Georgia Southern shut out South Alabama 52-0, for their first win of the season. Hmmm.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
25-7 in picking the winner,
14-16-2 against the spread,
16-13 against the CFPT average, and
14-18 against the over/under.

Charlotte at Southern Mississippi
The Golden Eagles were favored over the 49ers by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Southern Miss by 17.07 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 47 points.
Our Call: 31-20 for Southern Miss.
Result: Southern Miss won 66-21.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
26-7 in picking the winner,
14-17-2 against the spread,
16-14 against the CFPT average, and
15-18 against the over/under.

Western Carolina (FCS) at North Carolina
The Tar Heels were favored over the Catamounts by 19.5 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 61 points.
Our Call: 49-14 for North Carolina.
Result: North Carolina won 65-10.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
27-7 in picking the winner,
15-17-2 against the spread,
16-14 against the CFPT average, and
16-18 against the over/under.

Arizona State at Oregon State
The Sun Devils were favored over the Beavers by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arizona State by 10.55 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 59.5 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Arizona State.
Result: Arizona State won 40-24.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
28-7 in picking the winner,
15-18-2 against the spread,
16-15 against the CFPT average, and
16-19 against the over/under.

Kentucky at Georgia
The Dawgs were favored over the Wildcats by 22 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia  by 22.57 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50.5 points.
Our Call: 38-13 for Georgia.
Result: Georgia won 42-13.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
29-7 in picking the winner,
16-18-2 against the spread,
17-15 against the CFPT average, and
17-19 against the over/under.

Navy at Notre Dame
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Midshipmen by 18.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 21.97 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 38-24 for Notre Dame.
Result: Notre Dame won 24-17.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
30-7 in picking the winner,
17-18-2 against the spread,
18-15 against the CFPT average, and
18-19 against the over/under.

Oklahoma at Kansas
The Sooners were favored over the Jayhawks by 35 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 37.39 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 71 points.
Our Call: 51-17 for Oklahoma.
Result: Oklahoma won 41-3.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
31-7 in picking the winner,
17-19-2 against the spread,
18-16 against the CFPT average, and
19-19 against the over/under.

Illinois at Ohio State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Illini by 38.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio State by 38.90 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 56 points.
Our Call: 56-7 for Ohio State.
Result: Ohio State won 52-14.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
32-7 in picking the winner,
17-20-2 against the spread,
18-17 against the CFPT average, and
20-19 against the over/under.

Kansas State at Oklahoma State
The Cowboys were favored over the Wildcats by 22 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoms State by 16.84 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 65.5 points.
Our Call: 38-24 for Oklahoma State.
Result: Kansas State won 45-40.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
32-8 in picking the winner,
18-20-2 against the spread,
19-17 against the CFPT average, and
20-20 against the over/under.

Purdue at Iowa
The Hawkeyes were favored over the Boilermakers by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Iowa by 11.28 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 41 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Iowa.
Result: Purdue won 24-15.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
32-9 in picking the winner,
18-21-2 against the spread,
19-18 against the CFPT average, and
20-21 against the over/under.

Georgia Tech at Duke
The Yellow Jackets were favored over the Blue Devils by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Georgis Tech by 8.24 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 47.5 points.
Our Call: 31-20 for Georgia Tech.
Result: Duke won 43-20.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
32-10 in picking the winner,
18-22-2 against the spread,
19-19 against the CFPT average, and
21-21 against the over/under.

Syracuse at Louisville
The Cardinals were favored over the Orange by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Louisville by 7.37 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 73.5 points.
Our Call: 31-30 for Syracuse. We have a Syracuse alum in the family so that this is a biased selection.
Result: Louisville won 56-10.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
32-11 in picking the winner,
18-23-2 against the spread,
19-20 against the CFPT average, and
22-21 against the over/under.

San Jose State  at Colorado State
The Rams were favored over the Spartans by 32 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Colorado State by 30.90 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 67 points.
Our Call: 47-17 for Colorado State.
Result: Colorado State won 42-14.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
33-11 in picking the winner,
19-23-2 against the spread,
20-20 against the CFPT average, and
23-21 against the over/under.

Maryland at Michigan State
The Spartans were favored over the Terrapins by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan State by 14.49 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 46.5 points.
Our Call: 27-20 for Michigan State.
Result: Michigan State won 17-7.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
34-11 in picking the winner,
20-23-2 against the spread,
21-20 against the CFPT average, and
23-22 against the over/under.

Nebraska at Penn State
The Nittany Lions were favored over the Cornhuskers by 23 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Penn State by 27.96 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 57 points.
Our Call: 41-7 for Penn State. The Huskers this season are averaging 5.58 yards per play on offense (72nd in FBS) and 6.01 yards per play on defense (98th in FBS). Our stats favor Penn State by ca. 25 points plus the home field advantage, which Kambour calculates as 8.0321 points.
Result: Penn State won 56-44, after leading 56-24 with under seven minutes left to play.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
35-11 in picking the winner,
20-24-2 against the spread,
21-21 against the CFPT average, and
23-23 against the over/under.

Houston at Tulane
The Cougars were favored over the Green Wave by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Houston by 8.05 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for Houston.
Result: Tulane won 20-17.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
35-12 in picking the winner,
20-25-2 against the spread,
21-22 against the CFPT average, and
23-24 against the over/under.

Wofford (FCS) at South Carolina
The Gamecocks were favored over the Terriers by 26 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 45 points.
Our Call: 31-7 for South Carolina.
Result: South Carolina won 31-10.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
36-12 in picking the winner,
21-25-2 against the spread,
21-22 against the CFPT average, and
24-24 against the over/under.

UAB at Florida
The Gators were favored over the Blazers by 10.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Florida by 13.64 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 48 points.
Our Call: 30-16 for Florida.
Result: Florida won 36-7.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
37-12 in picking the winner,
22-25-2 against the spread,
22-22 against the CFPT average, and
25-24 against the over/under.

New Mexico State at Louisiana Lafayette
The Aggies were favored over the Ragin' Cajuns by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored New Mexico State by 1.17 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 65.5 points.
Our Call: 31-30 for New Mexico State.
Result: ULL won 47-34.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
37-13 in picking the winner,
23-25-2 against the spread,
23-22 against the CFPT average, and
25-25 against the over/under.

Coastal Carolina at Idaho
The Vandals were favored over the Chanticleers by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Idaho by 12.60 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 52 points.
Our Call: 31-24 for Idaho.
Result: Coastal Carolina won 13-7.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
37-14 in picking the winner,
24-25-2 against the spread,
24-22 against the CFPT average, and
25-26 against the over/under.

Army at North Texas
The Black Knights were favored over the Mean Green by 0.50 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Army by 5.73 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 58 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for North Texas.
really.
Result: North Texas won 52-49.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
38-14 in picking the winner,
25-25-2 against the spread,
25-22 against the CFPT average, and
25-27 against the over/under.

LSU at Tennessee
The Tigers were favored over the Volunteers by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored LSU by 12.03 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 46 points.
Our Call: 31-14 for LSU.
Result: LSU won 30-10.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
39-14 in picking the winner,
26-25-2 against the spread,
26-22 against the CFPT average, and
26-27 against the over/under.

Arizona at Oregon
The game was seen as even.
The CFPT prediction average favored Arizona over the Ducks by 1.13 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 74 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for Arizona.
Result: Oregon won 48-28.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
39-15 in picking the winner,
26-26-2 against the spread,
26-23 against the CFPT average, and
26-28 against the over/under.

Texas A&M at Mississippi
The Rebels were favored over the Aggies by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Texas A&M by 3.15 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 69.5 points.
Our Call: 34-30 for Texas A&M.
Result: Texas A&M won 31-24.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
40-15 in picking the winner,
27-26-2 against the spread,
27-23 against the CFPT average, and
27-28 against the over/under.

Connecticut at Boston College
The Eagles were favored over the Huskies by 21 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boston College by 24.15 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 50.5 points.
Our Call: 37-17 for Boston College.
Result: Boston College won 39-16.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
41-15 in picking the winner,
28-26-6 against the spread,
28-23 against the CFPT average, and
28-28 against the over/under.

Florida International (FIU) at Florida Atlantic (FAU)
The Owls were favored over the Golden Panthers by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored FAU by 17.11 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 62.5 points.
Our Call: 41-23 for FAU.
Result: FAU won 52-24.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
42-15 in picking the winner,
29-26-2 against the spread,
29-23 against the CFPT average, and
29-28 against the over/under.

Marshall at UTSA (Texas San Antonio)
The Thundering Herd were favored over the Roadrunners by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Marshall by 3.08 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 45 points.
Our Call: 27-23 for Marshall.
Result: UTSA won 9-7.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
42-16 in picking the winner,
29-27-2 against the spread,
29-24 against the CFPT average, and
29-29 against the over/under.

North Carolina State at Wake Forest
The game was seen as even.
The CFPT prediction average favored Wake Forest by 0.72 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 63.5 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for Wake Forest.
Result: Wake Forest won 30-24.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
43-16 in picking the winner,
30-27-2 against the spread,
30-24 against the CFPT average, and
29-30 against the over/under.

Missouri at Vanderbilt
The Tigers were favored over the Commodores by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Missouri by 7.04 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 67 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Missouri.
Result: Missouri won 45-17.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
44-16 in picking the winner,
30-28-2 against the spread,
30-25 against the CFPT average, and
30-30 against the over/under.

UCLA at USC
The Trojans were favored over the Bruins by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Southern Cal by 17.31 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 71.5 points.
Our Call: 44-24 for USC.
Result: USC won 28-23.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
45-16 in picking the winner,
30-29-2 against the spread,
30-26 against the CFPT average, and
31-30 against the over/under.

California at Stanford
The Cardinal were favored over the Golden Bears by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Stanford by 15.23 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 55.5 points.
Our Call:  41-20 for Stanford. Our stats favor the Cardinal by 17 points plus the home field advantage, which Kambour has at  3.9783 points.
Result: Stanford won 17-14.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
46-16 in picking the winner,
30-30-2 against the spread,
30-27 against the CFPT average, and
31-31 against the over/under.

Air Force at Boise State
The Broncos were favored over the Falcons by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Boise State by 16.93 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 57 points.
Our Call: 41-17 for Boise State.
Result: Boise State won 44-19.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
47-16 in picking the winner,
31-30-2 against the spread,
31-27 against the CFPT average, and
32-31 against the over/under.

Utah at Washington
The Huskies were favored over the Utes by 17.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored Washington by 18.22 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 47.5 points.
Our Call: 34-14 for Washington.
Result: Washington won 33-30.
Thus far this 12th Week we are
48-16 in picking the winner,
31-31-2 against the spread,
31-28 against the CFPT average, and
33-31 against the over/under.

Nevada at San Diego State
The Aztecs were favored over the Wolf Pack by 15 points.
The CFPT prediction average favored San Diego State by 18.14 points.
The O/U (over/under) was 56 points.
Our Call: 38-17 for San Diego State.
Result: San Diego State won 42-23.
For the 12th Week we finished:
49-16 in picking the winner,
32-31-2 against the spread,
32-28 against the CFPT average, and
33-32 against the over/under.




Most Popular Posts of All Time

Sky Earth Native America

Sky Earth Native America 1 :
American Indian Rock Art Petroglyphs Pictographs
Cave Paintings Earthworks & Mounds as Land Survey & Astronomy
,
Volume 1, Edition 2, 266 pages, by Andis Kaulins.

  • Sky Earth Native America 2 :
    American Indian Rock Art Petroglyphs Pictographs
    Cave Paintings Earthworks & Mounds as Land Survey & Astronomy
    ,
    Volume 2, Edition 2, 262 pages, by Andis Kaulins.

  • Both volumes have the same cover except for the labels "Volume 1" viz. "Volume 2".
    The image on the cover was created using public domain space photos of Earth from NASA.

    -----

    Both book volumes contain the following basic book description:
    "Alice Cunningham Fletcher observed in her 1902 publication in the American Anthropologist
    that there is ample evidence that some ancient cultures in Native America, e.g. the Pawnee in Nebraska,
    geographically located their villages according to patterns seen in stars of the heavens.
    See Alice C. Fletcher, Star Cult Among the Pawnee--A Preliminary Report,
    American Anthropologist, 4, 730-736, 1902.
    Ralph N. Buckstaff wrote:
    "These Indians recognized the constellations as we do, also the important stars,
    drawing them according to their magnitude.
    The groups were placed with a great deal of thought and care and show long study.
    ... They were keen observers....
    The Pawnee Indians must have had a knowledge of astronomy comparable to that of the early white men."
    See Ralph N. Buckstaff, Stars and Constellations of a Pawnee Sky Map,
    American Anthropologist, Vol. 29, Nr. 2, April-June 1927, pp. 279-285, 1927.
    In our book, we take these observations one level further
    and show that megalithic sites and petroglyphic rock carving and pictographic rock art in Native America,
    together with mounds and earthworks, were made to represent territorial geographic landmarks
    placed according to the stars of the sky using the ready map of the starry sky
    in the hermetic tradition, "as above, so below".
    That mirror image of the heavens on terrestrial land is the "Sky Earth" of Native America,
    whose "rock stars" are the real stars of the heavens, "immortalized" by rock art petroglyphs, pictographs,
    cave paintings, earthworks and mounds of various kinds (stone, earth, shells) on our Earth.
    These landmarks were placed systematically
    in North America, Central America (Meso-America) and South America
    and can to a large degree be reconstructed as the Sky Earth of Native America."

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